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USMNT vs. Canada odds, predictions, start time: 2023 Concacaf Gold Cup picks, July 9 bets by top soccer expert

A record-tying eighth tournament title is still in sight, but the United States Men’s National Team will have to get past Canada in Sunday’s 2023 Concacaf Gold Cup quarterfinals. After opening the tournament with a draw, the Americans advanced to the knockout round with ease as they crushed Saint Kitts and Nevis and Trinidad and Tobago, both by 6-0 scores, to win their group. Canada, meanwhile, finished second in a group they were heavy favorites to win. They needed a victory against Cuba to even advance, but they got the 4-2 victory on July 4. This is a rematch of last month’s Concacaf Nations League final, which the United States won 2-0.

Kickoff in TQL Stadium in Cincinnati is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The United States are -170 favorites (risk $170 to win $100), while Canada are +480 underdogs in the latest USMNT vs. Canada odds from Caesars Sportsbook. A 90-minute draw is priced at +270, and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before making any Canada vs. USMNT picks, you need to see the predictions and best bets from proven SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since last year’s World Cup, Green has been profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+3.45 units), FA Cup (+3.07) and EFL Cup (+3.64).

Listen below and follow In Soccer We Trust: A CBS Sports Soccer Podcast where your three favorite former USMNT players cover everything you could possibly want to know about the beautiful game in the United States.  

Now, Green has broken down the USMNT vs. Canada matchup from every angle. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Canada vs. USMNT:

  • USMNT vs. Canada spread: USA -0.5 (-170)
  • USMNT vs. Canada over/under: 2.5 goals
  • USMNT vs. Canada money line: USMNT -170, Canada +480, Draw +270
  • USA: The Americans have a 27-5 goal advantage over their past eight games
  • CAN: Canada’s only loss in 2023 was the Nations League final (4-2-1)
  • USMNT vs. Canada picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the USMNT

The Americans have won all five Gold Cup meetings between these teams, including a 1-0 victory on their way to winning the group in 2021. Canada haven’t beaten the USMNT on American soil since 1957. Both teams are missing key pieces, with European club players getting their rest. But Canada are in far more dire shape without Cyle Larin, Jonathan David and Alphonso Davies. Larin and David are the nation’s all-time leading scorers, and Davies is one of the best fullbacks in the world.

The Americans are missing talisman Christian Pulisic, among many other stars, but have a clear advantage in quality depth. Players like Jesus Ferreira, Brandon Vazquez, Djordje Mihailovic and Alex Zendejas are seizing opportunities. Ferreira has consecutive hat tricks, while Vazquez and Mihailovic both have scored twice in the Gold Cup. The Americans have conceded just one goal, with Matt Turner getting his 20th victory and clean sheet in his 30th appearance on July 4. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Canada 

The Canadians came up with the victory when they needed it, with Junior Hoilett and Jonathan Osorio among the scorers against Cuba. They put nine of their 14 shots on target, and both goals conceded came on penalty kicks. Lucas Cavallini had a goal against Guadeloupe to give him 19 in just 39 international matches, most on the team. Osorio is the leader in appearances with 67, and Hoilett has 15 goals in 58 matches. Hoilett and Cavallini both have six career Gold Cup goals. 

Osorio has played 11 seasons in MLS with Toronto FC and has 30 goals and 20 assists over the past six. He plays a big role in the attack, and 23-year-old Liam Millar and Jayden Nelson, 20, are emerging as threats. Millar, a Liverpool Academy product who plays for FC Basel, scored the final goal against Cuba, his first for Canada. Nelson, who plays with Rosenborg in the Norwegian pro league, scored the deciding goal in the group-stage finale for his second in just five international matches. See which team to pick here.

How to make USMNT vs. Canada picks

Green has broken down the USMNT vs. Canada match from every angle. He is leaning Under on the goal total and has three confident best bets, including a plus-money play on a goal-scorer. He’s only sharing those Concacaf Gold Cup picks here.

So who wins USMNT vs. Canada in Sunday’s Concacaf Gold Cup quarterfinals, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Canada vs. USMNT match, all from the European soccer expert who’s been profitable across multiple leagues, and find out. 

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