2023 U.S. Open picks, odds, field, date: Surprising PGA predictions by golf model that’s nailed 9 majors

The third major of the year will be decided when the PGA Tour heads to Los Angeles Country Club for the 2023 U.S. Open starting Thursday, June 15. The 2023 U.S. Open field will feature stars like Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler and Jordan Spieth chasing the coveted U.S. Open trophy. Matthew Fitzpatrick enters the U.S. Open 2023 as the defending champion and will try to become the first golfer to defend his U.S. Open title successfully since Brooks Koepka (2017-18). Scheffler, the No. 1-ranked player in the world, is the 17-2 favorite according to the 2023 U.S. Open odds from Caesars Sportsbook.

Rahm is next in line on the PGA odds board at 9-1, followed by McIlroy (10-1) and Koepka (12-1). Before locking in your 2023 U.S. Open picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the 2023 U.S. Open predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,700 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Hardy and Davis Riley in its best bets to win the 2023 Zurich Classic. That bet hit at +4500, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned over $1,100. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, even though he hadn’t won a PGA Tour event since 2018.

This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2023 U.S. Open field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2023 U.S. Open leaderboard.

Top 2023 U.S. Open predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the U.S. Open 2023: Cameron Smith, a six-time PGA Tour winner and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top 15. He won the 2022 Open Championship, but he has not finished in the top five at either of the major championships this season. Smith was outside the top 30 at the Masters in April, shooting 4-over-par. 

He finished ninth at the PGA Championship in the second major of the year, but was never in contention for the title. Smith has struggled at the U.S. Open in recent years, failing to place inside the top 35 since his debut in 2015. He has missed the cut in each of the last two U.S. Open tournaments, so the model does not see any value in backing Smith at short golf odds in this year’s edition. See which golfers to fade here.

Another surprise: Collin Morikawa, a 22-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Morikawa is one of the best iron players on the PGA Tour. In fact, the 26-year-old ranks first in strokes gained approaching the green (1.013) and seventh in greens in regulation percentage (70.29%).

Morikawa is also accurate off the tee, ranking sixth in driving accuracy (68.63%). If he drains putts at Los Angeles Country Club, Morikawa will have the opportunity to win his third major championship, according to the golf model. See who else to pick here

How to make 2023 U.S. Open picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with U.S. Open odds 2023 longer than 20-1 who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s 2023 U.S. Open picks here.

So, who will win the U.S. Open 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 U.S. Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 U.S. Open leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed nine golf majors, including this year’s Masters.

2023 U.S. Open odds, field

See full the U.S. Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 17-2
Jon Rahm 9-1
Rory McIlroy 10-1
Brooks Koepka 10-1
Justin Thomas 16-1
Patrick Cantlay 16-1
Cameron Smith 18-1
Xander Schauffele 18-1
Max Homa 20-1
Collin Morikawa 22-1
Tony Finau 22-1
Jordan Spieth 25-1
Viktor Hovland 25-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 25-1
Dustin Johnson 28-1
Joonhyung (Tom) Kim 33-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Sam Burns 35-1
Shane Lowry 35-1
Cameron Young 35-1
Sungjae Im 35-1
Bryson DeChambeau 40-1
Joaquin Niemann 50-1
Sahith Theegala 55-1
Tyrrell Hatton 55-1
Corey Conners 55-1
Aaron Wise 60-1
Daniel Berger 60-1
Tommy Fleetwood 60-1
Louis Oosthuizen 65-1
Keegan Bradley 65-1
Davis Riley 65-1
Marc Leishman 65-1
Billy Horschel 70-1
Russell Henley 75-1
Abraham Ancer 75-1
Justin Rose 75-1
Tom Hoge 80-1
Seamus Power 80-1
Mito Pereira 80-1
Patrick Reed 85-1
Talor Gooch 90-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 100-1
Robert MacIntyre 100-1
Webb Simpson 100-1
Gary Woodland 100-1
Denny McCarthy 100-1
Harold Varner 100-1
Jason Kokrak 100-1
Adam Scott 100-1
Rickie Fowler 110-1
Thomas Pieters 125-1
Mackenzie Hughes 125-1
Si-Woo Kim 125-1
Brian Harman 125-1
Luke List 125-1
Sergio Garcia 125-1
JJ Spaun 125-1
Sebastian Munoz 125-1
Patrick Rodgers 150-1
Matthew NeSmith 150-1
Cameron Tringale 150-1
Harris English 150-1
Kevin Kisner 150-1
Trey Mullinax 150-1
K.H. Lee 150-1
JT Poston 150-1
Alex Noren 150-1
Adam Hadwin 175-1
Nick Hardy 175-1
Joel Dahmen 200-1
Eddie Pepperell 200-1

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