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2023 Memorial Tournament picks, odds, field: PGA predictions, best bets from model that nailed nine majors

Muirfield Village has become one of the must-stop venues on most players’ calendars, and the 2023 Memorial Tournament field is loaded with talent. The top five players in the Official World Golf Ranking will tee it up in Dublin, Ohio, beginning on Thursday. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is the 6-1 favorite in the 2023 Memorial Tournament odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while Jon Rahm is right behind him at 7-1. Some of the other 2023 Memorial Tournament contenders include Patrick Cantlay (10-1), Rory McIlroy (12-1) and Xander Schauffele (14-1).

Billy Horschel is returning to defend his title after winning by four strokes last year for his seventh PGA Tour title. He is a 125-1 longshot, so should he factor into your 2023 Memorial Tournament bets? Before locking in your 2023 Memorial Tournament picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $8,700 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Hardy and Davis Riley in its best bets to win the 2023 Zurich Classic. That bet hit at +4500, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned over $1,100. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, even though he hadn’t won a PGA Tour event since 2018.

This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2023 Memorial Tournament field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2023 Memorial Tournament predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the Memorial Tournament 2023: McIlroy, who ranks third in the world and is one of the favorites, stumbles this week and doesn’t even crack the top 10. He skipped the Charles Schwab Challenge following his seventh-place finish at the PGA Championship. McIlroy was outside the top 45 at the Wells Fargo Championship at the beginning of May after missing the cut at the Masters Tournament. 

He also missed the cut at The Players Championship and did not contend at the WM Phoenix Open or the Genesis Invitational earlier in the season. McIlroy has not been meeting expectations throughout the campaign, but he continues to be priced as one of the favorites on the PGA odds board. The model has McIlroy outside the top 10 this week, making him an overvalued golfer to avoid with 2023 Memorial Tournament bets. 

Another surprise: Tyrrell Hatton, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Hatton has been extremely consistent this season, making the cut in 12 of 13 events.

While he has yet to win a tournament during the 2022-23 campaign, his eight top-25s and five top-10s suggest he is on the cusp of a breakthrough performance. Hatton ranks third on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained and ninth in scoring average. The model thinks he is an undervalued golfer due to his lack of victories, as his stats make him a contender nearly every time he steps on the course. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2023 Memorial Tournament picks

The model is also targeting two other golfers with Memorial Tournament 2023 odds of 35-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s Memorial Tournament picks here.

So, who will win the Memorial Tournament 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 Memorial Tournament odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 Memorial Tournament leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed nine golf majors, including this year’s Masters.

2023 Memorial Tournament odds, field

See the full Memorial Tournament 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 6-1
Jon Rahm 7-1
Patrick Cantlay 10-1
Rory McIlroy 12-1
Xander Schauffele 14-1
Viktor Hovland 20-1
Collin Morikawa 22-1
Cameron Young 30-1
Jordan Spieth 30-1
Justin Thomas 30-1
Jason Day 30-1
Rickie Fowler 35-1
Tyrrell Hatton 35-1
Sungjae Im 40-1
Hideki Matsuyama 40-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
Corey Conners 40-1
Russell Henley 45-1
Sam Burns 45-1
Shane Lowry 55-1
Sahith Theegala 55-1
Tom Kim 60-1
Adam Scott 65-1
Si Woo Kim 65-1
Wyndham Clark 65-1
Matt Kuchar 80-1
Gary Woodland 80-1
Keith Mitchell 100-1
Denny McCarthy 100-1
Keegan Bradley 100-1
Cam Davis 100-1
Emiliano Grillo 100-1
Byeong Hun An 125-1
Kurt Kitayama 125-1
Billy Horschel 125-1
Harris English 125-1
K.H. Lee 125-1
Brian Harman 125-1
Adam Hadwin 125-1
Chris Kirk 150-1
Ryan Fox 150-1
Taylor Montgomery 150-1
Hayden Buckley 150-1
Nicolai Hojgaard 150-1
Patrick Rodgers 150-1
Lucas Herbert 175-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 175-1
Seamus Power 175-1
Beau Hossler 175-1
Tom Hoge 175-1
Stephan Jaeger 175-1
J.T. Poston 200-1
Thomas Detry 200-1
Andrew Putnam 200-1
Matt NeSmith 200-1
Aaron Rai 200-1
Adam Schenk 225-1
Davis Riley 225-1
Justin Suh 225-1
Mark Hubbard 250-1
Adam Svensson 250-1
Alex Smalley 250-1
Brendon Todd 275-1
Jospeh Bramlett 275-1

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