2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, picks, field: PGA predictions, bets from model that nailed 10 majors

Opened in 1988, TPC Southwind in Memphis has been a stop on the PGA Tour since 1989 and it became the host of the first round of the FedEx Cup Playoffs for the first time last season. The 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship will be the first postseason event of the 2022-23 PGA Tour season, and changes to the playoff format mean the field has been reduced from 125 to 70. Justin Thomas and Adam Scott were just a couple of the notables who missed the 2023 FedEx Cup Playoffs with the reduced field. However, the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2023 field will be stocked with major champions as well as players looking to cement a career-defining victory. 

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is the 13-2 favorite in the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds. Rory McIlroy is the defending FedEx Cup champion and he’s listed at 8-1 in this week’s PGA Tour odds along with Jon Rahm, who currently sits atop the FedEx Cup standings. Before locking in your 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now that the 2023 FedEx St. Judge Championship field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2023: McIlroy, the defending FedEx Cup Playoffs champion and one of the top favorites this week, stumbles and doesn’t even crack the top three. The model has identified him as a poor value in the outright winner market at 8-1.

The No. 2 golfer in the OWGR has been almost automatic when it comes to top-10s and being in contention in general. But he’s struggled to finish off big tournaments overall with only wins at the Scottish Open and CJ Cup this season despite his overall great form. He also missed the cut altogether at this event in 2022 before storming back to take the overall playoff crown. 

Another surprise: Tyrrell Hatton, a 25-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 31-year-old Englishman captured his lone PGA Tour win at the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational, but he’s a six-time DP World Tour winner who ranks 14th in the Official World Golf Ranking and 17th in the FedEx Cup standings.

Hatton has piled up seven top-10 finishes so far this season, including a runner-up showing at the Players Championship. He currently ranks fourth on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: total (2.087) and he’s top 12 on tour in three of the four major strokes-gained categories (off-the-tee, approach and putting). Hatton has made the cut in 10 consecutive starts and is a clear candidate to make a deep run in the FedEx Cup playoffs. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 22-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

So, who will win the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 FedEx St. Jude odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 FedEx St. Jude leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 10 golf majors, including this year’s Masters and Open Championship.

2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, field

See the full FedEx St. Jude Championship 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 13-2
Rory McIlroy 8-1
Jon Rahm 8-1
Patrick Cantlay 14-1
Xander Schauffele 16-1
Victor Hovland 18-1
Tyrrell Hatton 22-1
Tommy Fleetwood 25-1
Jordan Spieth 25-1
Collin Morikawa 25-1
Tony Finau 28-1
Rickie Fowler 28-1
Wyndham Clark 30-1
Max Homa 30-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 30-1
Jason Day 30-1
Sam Burns 35-1
Russell Henley 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Cameron Young 35-1
Brian Harman 35-1
Tom Kim 40-1
Sungjae Im 40-1
J.T. Poston 45-1
Sepp Straka 50-1
Justin Rose 50-1
Byeong Hun An 50-1
Keegan Bradley 60-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Cam Davis 60-1
Si Woo Kim 65-1
Lee Hodges 70-1
Harris English 70-1
Lucas Glover 75-1
Denny McCarthy 75-1
Keith Mitchell 80-1
Emiliano Grillo 80-1
Aaron Rai 80-1
Taylor Moore 90-1
Stephen Jaegar 90-1
Sahith Theegala 90-1
Chris Kirk 100-1
Adam Hadwin 100-1
Thomas Detry 110-1
Seamus Power 110-1
Eric Cole 110-1
Brendon Todd 110-1
Beau Hossler 110-1
Andrew Putnam 110-1
Adam Svensson 110-1
Patrick Rodgers 130-1
Matt Kuchar 130-1
Kurt Kitayama 130-1
JJ Spaun 130-1
Alex Smalley 130-1
Vincent Norrman 150-1
Tom Hoge 150-1
Nick Hardy 150-1
Mark Hubbard 150-1
Sam Stevens 180-1
Nick Taylor 180-1
Adam Schenk 180-1
Taylor Montgomery 250-1
Sam Ryder 250-1
Hayden Buckley 250-1
Davis Riley 250-1
Brandon Wu 250-1
Ben Griffin 250-1
Mackenzie Hughes 300-1
Matt NeSmith 300-1

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