2023 BMW Championship odds, picks, field, predictions: Golf insider fading Jon Rahm at Olympia Fields

As the PGA Tour season rolls through Olympia Fields outside Chicago for the 2023 BMW Championship, the race for the FedEx Cup title remains tight. With just two events remaining in the 2023 FedEx Cup Playoffs, reigning Masters champion Jon Rahm leads the standings with 3,386 points. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is just 148 points behind, while three-time FedEx Cup champion Rory McIlroy is another 284 points back. The top 30 players after the BMW Championship will advance to the season-ending Tour Championship next week at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. 

Rory McIlroy is the +650 favorite in the 2023 BMW Championship odds, while Scottie Scheffler (+700) and Jon Rahm (+900) round out the top three choices. Patrick Cantlay, who’s the back-to-back champion of this event, is going off at +1000. Before locking in any 2023 BMW Championship picks, make sure you see the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad.

Nejad specializes in betting and DFS in golf, among other sports. He’s had incredible success in the outright and first-round leader markets and in betting head-to-head matchups. The expert has been on fire on head-to-head matchups since the Charles Schwab Challenge, going 23-12-1 and returning 8.76 units over that span. That’s a $876 profit for $100 bettors in the past 12 weeks.

Nejad also nailed 75-1 longshot Wyndham Clark as the outright winner at the Wells Fargo Championship. In 2023, SportsLine debuted “The Early Wedge,” and in the first three months of the show, he hit two first-round leaders and three outright winners. Nejad also had a winning head-to-head record in seven of nine weeks. He was up more than 70 units over that three-month span.

Now, Nejad has focused his attention on the 2023 BMW Championship field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. See who they are at SportsLine.

Top 2023 BMW Championship expert picks

One surprise: Nejad is taking a stand against Rahm. The Spaniard won the BMW Championship the last time it was played at Olympia Fields, but he’s struggled in recent weeks. 

Since winning four of his first nine tournaments to start the year, including the Masters, he has just three top-10 finishes in his last eight events. Last week, he finished 37th at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, which was a no-cut tournament and a 70-player field. “His metrics and form appear to be the most fragile among the elite players,” Nejad told SportsLine. See all his picks at SportsLine

However, Nejad is bullish on Tommy Fleetwood. Listed at +2200 in the BMW Championship odds, Fleetwood enters the second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs ranked No. 15 in the world. He is in the midst of his best season on the PGA Tour, having set career highs in earnings ($6.3 million) and top-10 finishes (eight).

Nejad likes that Fleetwood’s game is trending in the right direction. Since the start of the summer, he has finished second, third, fifth, sixth, and 10th in six events. “All aspects of his game have been clicking since early June, and I think he’s ready to cash in,” Nejad said. See whom else to back at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 BMW Championship picks

Nejad has locked in his best bets for the 2023 BMW Championship and is backing several longshots, including one who is priced higher than 40-1. This player “has been excellent lately across all the strokes gained metrics” and is a longshot who could surprise. You can see his PGA Tour picks only at SportsLine.

So which players should you target or avoid for the 2023 BMW Championship, and which player in the BMW Championship 2023 field could bring a huge payday at more than 40-1? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sia Nejad’s top picks for BMW Championship 2023, all from the expert who was up more than 70 units on his recent golf picks.

2023 BMW Championship odds, field, contenders

See Nejad’s picks, best bets and predictions here.

Rory McIlroy +650
Scottie Scheffler +700
Jon Rahm +900
Patrick Cantlay +1000
Xander Schauffele +1600
Viktor Hovland +1600
Tommy Fleetwood +2200
Tyrrell Hatton +2500
Max Homa +2500
Collin Morikawa +2800
Rickie Fowler +2800
Jordan Spieth +3000
Lucas Glover +3000
Cameron Young +3500
Hideki Matsuyama +3500
Wyndham Clark +4000
Russell Henley +4000
Tom Kim +4500
Jason Day +4500
Tony Finau +4500
Sungjae Im +4500
Byeong Hun An +4500
Brian Harman +5000
Corey Conners +5000
Matt Fitzpatrick +5500
Sam Burns +5500
Justin Rose +6000
Cam Davis +6000
Sepp Straka +6000
Emiliano Grillo +6500
Keegan Bradley +6500
J.T. Poston +7000
Si Woo Kim +7000
Sahith Theegala +8000
Adam Hadwin +8500
Eric Cole +8500
Taylor Moore +10000
Chris Kirk +10000
Brendon Todd +12500
Harris English +12500
Adam Schenk +12500
Denny McCarthy +12500
Kurt Kitayama +15000
Adam Svensson +15000
Lee Hodges +15000
Andrew Putnam +17500
Nick Taylor +17500
Patrick Rodgers +17500
Tom Hoge +20000
Seamus Power +20000

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